Thursday, October 01, 2009

Football: This weekend's point spreads

Well, let's see how this goes. The only one of these I've put on the record before this week was Western @ Guelph (+4), which Western won by two, thank you very much.

Home-field advantage is worth quite a bit in the CIS and you can see that most home teams are favoured, except the hapless Lancers, UBC, and whoever is unfortunate enough to play Laval. York not being a clear underdog in a matchup is surprising, but it's basically a game between two of the lowest-ranked teams in the country, so it's not like we expect a blowout. Going back to Laval, their point spread against the Carabins is probably low because I cut off any margin of victory above, say, four touchdowns--which the Rouge et Or have a lot of. Keeping that game within single digits would be exceptional.

And as always: please, no wagering.

Canada West
Saskatchewan @ Simon Fraser (-5.5)
Calgary @ UBC (+12)
Alberta @ Manitoba (pick 'em)

OUA
Toronto @ York (pick 'em)
Ottawa @ Laurier (-7.5)
Queen's @ Windsor (+24)
Waterloo @ Guelph (-22.5)
McMaster @ Western (-18.5)

FQSE
McGill @ Bishop's (-9)
Sherbrooke @ Concordia (-7)
Laval @ Montréal (+5.5)

AUS
Mount Allison @ Saint Mary's (-29.5)
Acadia @ StFX (-11)

3 comments:

  1. Waterloo +22.5 is tasty.

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  2. Yeah, I totally forgot about Dunk. Waterloo's probably going to cover.

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  3. Through Saturday, the favourites have covered 4 out of 10 (so close on SMU). It'll be 5 of 11 if Laval covers (or 5/12 if you want to count last week's Western-Guelph score). Too high on Guelph, didn't see the upset coming with McMaster, and I'll never give York the benefit of the doubt again.

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