The new coach will likely be from outside Windsor and environs. What is likely to happen is Morencie will be offered another position within the university, to avoid a lame-duck campaign.
This is not a rumour site, but the source has never steered us wrong. It was reported last fall Morencie, whose contract runs through the 2010-11 school year, had been told he needed a five-victory season in order to keep his job.
The 2-2 Lancers just lost 49-0 to Waterloo. Their next two games are vs. No. 4 Queen's and No. 8 Laurier, plus they have to make the OUA's longest road trip to play Ottawa in the regular-season finale, so 5-3 is not looking good.
I would say it is dollars-to-donuts Windsor will have a new coach in 2010. Here are a few cisblog.ca candidates for the job (it's not grave-dancing, the rumour mill has churned at cisfootball.org for a good long while):
- Mickey Donovan, Western linebackers coach: The former CIS defensive player of the year has has a unique background as an American who played in the NCAA (Maine) and QUFL. One of Donovan's fortes is recruiting, where he and Mustangs defensive coordinator Paul Gleason have been invaluable in helping Greg Marshall shore up the overall talent level at Western, which had slipped early on this decade. Donovan is pretty young,
- John Bloomfield, former coach of the Ontario Football Conference's Windsor AKO Fratmen and of the St. FX X-Men: Bloomfield has ties to the Windsor area and has previous CIS head coaching experience and experience with the Lancers, so he's got that goin' for him, which is nice.
At the same time, there were the clouded-in-innuendo circumstances of his departure from St. FX following last season. No one questions Bloomfield's football acumen, though, and lookie-lookie, the X-Men have started 3-0 this season. It is Gary Waterman's team, but he's fighting with what was Bloomfield's army.
- Ryan Pyear, Laurier offensive coordinator: Another young, ambitious assistant coach who has essentially apprenticed to lead an OUA team since he was a teenager, as a SOFAC (Son of a Coach), a five-year starter at quarterback for the Golden Hawks and as Gary Jeffries' offensive coordinator. It might be too-much, too-soon, but another former Laurier OC, Stefan Ptaszek, is already an OUA coach.
- Pat Tracey, Queen's defensive coordinator: Tracey has built a big home with the Golden Gaels and it would be as hard for him to leave as it would be to see him leave, speaking a Tricolour fan. Also please keep in mind that with any coaching change, it means two careers get uprooted, the coach and his spouse.
Tracey is very settled at Queen's and is a native of Eastern Ontario. At the same time, it is fair to toss his name into the hat, given that he has more than a decade's experience as a DC in the OUA, having worked at Guelph in the late 1990s before joining Pat Sheahan's staff in 2000 and taking the defensive duties in '01. He is practically the dean of defensive coordinators in the league.