- Ottawa/UBC — predicted a 67-63 UBC win. Actual result: UBC 59, Ottawa 51. Not quite a game for the ages (you kind of need overtime or a Stu Turnbull Special for that), but just about as good as you could ask for, between two very good teams.
It was tied at 49 with 4:35 left but the Gee-Gees would only make one more shot the rest of the way. Both sides were making some questionable passing decisions near the end — though obviously the results of those five minutes dictate that Ottawa U made most of them.
In fact, for Ottawa, there were more than a few instances where they were pressured outside and put up a bad three-pointer (they were 5/20 on those) or tried a cross-court pass only to see Kris Young spontaneously materialize and take it the other way. One particularly unfortunately-timed turnover by Kellie Ring sticks in the mind, though it apparently didn't make the play-by-play so I may be misremembering.
- Windsor/Calgary — predicted a 72-58 Windsor win. Actual result: Windsor 81, Calgary 71.
Back in my days at Waterloo, they would request that you stand and clap until the home side scored their first basket in each half. (They probably still do this, but there's no evidence anyone attends Waterloo games so I can't be sure.) It was supposed to encourage the Warriors to score, a motivator not unlike those little rings engineers need to wear so they're reminded to do their jobs properly, but invariably the team would choose these exact time periods to waste lots of possessions throwing the ball vaguely netwards. They'd be outscored 12-0 and eventually make the fans give up and sit down or risk clapping their hands raw.
I may be exaggerating for effect. The point is: the beginning of this game was just as bad as that. Calgary didn't make a field goal for the first six and a half minutes.
Aside from that, neither side really had a problem putting points on the board: in the second half, when things were mostly already squared away, the teams combined for an effective 63% (no, really), featuring some "NBA all-star game"-level defence. Regardless, the opening 17-4 deficit was just too much for the Dinos to come back from.
Upset over Regina or no, this one goes to show you that the preceding 33 games also matter when trying to figure out how well a team will do in their next game. The Lancers were a +20 team this year in a league where the average team scored 65.5 per game. That's the equivalent of +23.7 for a men's team (in a higher scoring environment) and only the Carleton Ravens topped that mark. In basketball you often have to make bad shots, because you only have 24 seconds and eventually someone has to put the ball in the air. Windsor, however, ignores these previously-immutable rules of basketball and just passes it around quickly and crisply four times until the defence is trying to rotate in eight directions at once.
Final: 7:00pm MT
It's the third-straight appearance in the national final for these Lancers, and their third different opponent. The first time they lost to a basically undefeated, powerhouse Simon Fraser team. Last year they won against Saskatchewan.
UBC won the Bronze Baby in 2008, with both Alex Vieweg and Zara Huntley seeing time in the 67-46 win (five points in a combined 22 minutes).
Previous meetings: None.
UBC's previous starting lineup: Alex Vieweg (ranked 21st), Kristen Hughes (137), Kris Young (9), Zara Huntley (20), Leigh Stansfield (96)
Windsor's previous starting lineup: Iva Peklova (ranked 136th), Jessica Clémençon (4), Miah-Marie Langlois (6), Emily Abbott (287), Bojana Kovacevic (15)
Prediction: Windsor 69, UBC 64