Football: QUFL playoff scenarios

Alright, thanks to the QUFL's crack team, we finally have a complete list of playoff scenarios for this weekend's final games.

In the Quebec conference, two of the four playoff spots are up for grabs. Laval is locked into 1st, and Montreal can be anywhere from 2nd to 4th. That leaves Concordia, McGill, Sherbrooke and Bishop's fighting for two spots. Again, all info straight from the QSSF.

Continue reading...

Scenario 1:
Laval beats McGill
Montreal beats Sherbrooke
Concordia beats Bishop's

1. Laval (7-1)
2. Montreal (5-3)
3. Concordia (4-4)
4. McGill (3-5)
5. Sherbrooke (3-5)
6. Bishop's (3-5)

McGill wins tiebreaker because of point differential in games vs. Sherbrooke and Bishop's

Scenario 2:
Laval beats McGill
Montreal beats Sherbrooke
Bishop's beats Concordia

1. Laval (7-1)
2. Montreal (5-3)
3. Bishop's (4-4)
4. Concordia (3-5)
5. McGill (3-5)
6. Sherbrooke (3-5)

Concordia wins tiebreaker due to head-to-head points against McGill and Sherbrooke. McGill wins over Sherbrooke.

Scenario 3:
Laval beats McGill
Sherbrooke beats Montreal
Concordia beats Bishop's

1. Laval (7-1)
2. Sherbrooke (4-4)
3. Montreal (4-4)
4. Concordia (4-4)
5. Bishop's (3-5)
6. McGill (3-5)

Sherbrooke wins on head-to-head points over Montreal and Concordia. Montreal over Concordia.

Scenario 4:
Laval beats McGill
Sherbrooke beats Montreal
Bishop's beats Concordia

1. Laval (7-1)
2. Sherbrooke (4-4)
3. Bishop's (4-4)
4. Montreal (4-4)
5. Concordia (3-5)
6. McGill (3-5)

Sherbrooke would take head to head from Montreal and Bishop's. Bishop's would take it from Montreal.

Scenario 5:
McGill beats Laval
Montreal beats Sherbrooke
Concordia beats Bishop's

1. Laval (6-2)
2. Montreal (5-3)
3. Concordia (4-4)
4. McGill (4-4)
5. Sherbrooke (3-5)
6. Bishop's (3-5)

Concordia takes head to head from McGill.

Scenario 6:
McGill beats Laval
Montreal beats Sherbrooke
Bishop's beats Concordia

1. Laval (6-2)
2. Montreal (5-3)
3. McGill (4-4)
4. Bishop's (4-4)
5. Concordia (3-5)
6. Sherbrooke (3-5)

McGill beats Bishop's over head to head points.

Scenario 7:
McGill beats Laval
Sherbrooke beats Montreal
Concordia beats Bishop's

1. Laval (6-2)
2. Montreal (4-4)
3. Concordia (4-4)
4. McGill (4-4)
5. Sherbrooke (4-4)
6. Bishop's (3-5)

This one is the most complicated. Montreal and Concordia beat McGill and Sherbrooke on tie-breakers to create a two-way tie for second while McGill and Sherbrooke have a two-way tie for fourth. Montreal and McGill win both two-way ties due to head-to-head.

Scenario 8:
McGill beats Laval
Sherbrooke beats Montreal
Bishop's beats Concordia

1. Laval (6-2)
2. Sherbrooke (4-4)
3. Bishop's (4-4)
4. Montreal (4-4)
5. McGill (4-4)
6. Concordia (3-5)

Another complicated scenario. This time Sherbrooke and Bishop's create a new tie for second beating Montreal and McGill. Sherbrooke and Montreal win the two-team ties.

All games are Saturday at 1 p.m. to eliminate any sneaky play. The games are at McGill, Montreal and Bishop's.

Here's a print, scissor and save bullet-point list:
  • Concordia, Laval, Montréal win: McGill at Laval, Concordia at Montréal
  • Bishop's, Laval, Montréal win: Concordia at Laval, Bishop's at Montréal
  • Concordia, Laval, Sherbrooke win: Concordia at Laval, Montréal at Sherbrooke
  • Bishop's, Laval, Sherbrooke win: Montréal at Laval, Bishop's at Sherbrooke
  • Concordia, McGill, Montréal win: McGill at Laval, Concordia at Montréal
  • Bishop's, McGill, Montréal win: McGill at Laval, Bishop's at Montréal
  • Concordia, McGill, Sherbrooke win: McGill at Laval, Concordia at Montréal (Sherbrooke would miss the playoffs at 4-4)
  • Bishop's, McGill, Sherbrooke win: Montréal at Laval, Bishop's at Sherbrooke
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6 comments:

  1. And what if there's a tie?

    (shields self from thrown objects)

    ReplyDelete
  2. All I know is that as long as we keep the differential below 66 points Saturday, we're ok for the playoff...

    I guess Twitter will be gold at the Cepsum come Saturday around 15:30...

    ReplyDelete
  3. You guys are too complicated.

    Scenarios 1-8:

    Laval wins both playoffs games by wide margins.

    ReplyDelete
  4. @Rob - If there's a tie, it actually makes things easier... 3-4-1 teams behind 4-4 teams and ahead of 3-5 teams.

    If all three games tie, then the above rules apply.

    @Deux Fans - I think that out of town scores will be few and far between at games this weekend. Coaches don't like teams to know the scores of other games. However, Twitter will be big for fans who want to know what things will be going on.

    ReplyDelete
  5. @Oil Thigh - we've heard something like that October 2nd....

    Good work Jared, I'll keep your post handy Saturday...

    ReplyDelete
  6. Deuxfans, I think the situation is a little different now. Groulx is back in shape while Brouillete is unfortunately injured, plus the Carabins are on a losing streak, at least until next Saturday. I still hope we get a Montréal-Laval Dunsmore Cup game but the probabilities have gone down on the Carabins side.

    In fact, there are three more scenarios I believe: if Sherbrooke beats Montreal by less than 3 points while Laval and Concordia also win, by more than 37 points while McGill and Concordia also win, and by more than 66 points (unlikely but still) while Bishop's and McGill also win, then the above rankings change.

    ReplyDelete